Takashi OKIMURA, Nobuyuki TORII, Yukitada OSAKI, Mitsuhiro NAMBU and Katsunori HARAGUCHI
Abstract
Recently, intensive rainfalls have been becoming heavier than past, and, therefore,
landslide disasters have been often occurring in many area, and damage of various
facilities and lives have been large. The slope failure disasters occurred by
the heavy rainfall that typhoon 9 caused at western and northern area in Hyogo
prefecture in 2009. Spatial and temporal prediction of landslides is important
to diminish the damage by such landslides, and it is necessary to gather the
information of dangerous situation for the evacuation of the habitants. The
real]time type hazard system has been constructing at Rokko mountain area in
Hyogo prefecture from 2007, and it have been operating from April 2010. In this
system, the prediction method of probability of failure occurring, using digital
elevation model that Okimura and Ichikawa suggest, is installed, and the data
of topography, geotechnical information, rainfall are used to calculate the
safety factors of each cell that change real]timely at heavy rainfall. As the
predicted results have been evaluated by the actual data of landslides caused
by the heavy rainfall in 1967 July, the validity of this model has been showed
enough. In this paper, the function and performance of this system are showed.
Key wordsFheavy rainfalls, slope failure, real]time type hazard system, prediction
information, evacuation